Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 7.093187 7.813756 8.582911 9.466219 10.454074 11.526480 12.781030
2025-11-09 5.833567 6.797375 7.893473 9.237050 10.846025 12.718843 15.075337
2025-11-16 4.941873 6.041910 7.363181 9.077864 11.259836 13.964386 17.602562
2025-11-23 4.291038 5.472236 6.961119 8.994544 11.728617 15.319069 20.459886
2025-11-30 3.875372 5.134700 6.793417 9.168034 12.529272 17.191136 24.277729
2025-12-07 3.452286 4.728955 6.476517 9.084809 12.950578 18.583985 27.631076
2025-12-14 3.066030 4.324710 6.107310 8.868760 13.134771 19.637885 30.624736
2025-12-21 2.790392 4.044322 5.877416 8.818136 13.543236 21.063707 34.409071
2025-12-28 2.623364 3.903363 5.833033 9.036409 14.387126 23.277334 39.854235
2026-01-04 2.466577 3.759696 5.765290 9.202341 15.156104 25.459088 45.603303
2026-01-11 2.300813 3.584246 5.626694 9.230041 15.684298 27.283136 50.992575
2026-01-18 2.134993 3.392306 5.440608 9.151761 16.007674 28.768894 55.968431
2026-01-25 1.973565 3.196543 5.234880 9.025577 16.245176 30.161107 61.094014
2026-02-01 1.825052 3.009756 5.027214 8.873035 16.413845 31.445581 66.249702
2026-02-08 1.698662 2.850227 4.852293 8.761332 16.646635 32.892485 72.060290
2026-02-15 1.593516 2.719070 4.715742 8.706734 16.985340 34.608927 78.854072
2026-02-22 1.531099 2.659003 4.702733 8.890443 17.839430 37.571235 89.331926
2026-03-01 1.441203 2.541095 4.570858 8.820439 18.140467 39.334749 97.140183
2026-03-08 1.343420 2.400836 4.384317 8.617898 18.122627 40.350850 103.176157
2026-03-15 1.272747 2.306437 4.278458 8.572926 18.453204 42.251030 112.106652
2026-03-22 1.236020 2.274451 4.292775 8.786943 19.412527 45.866303 126.918881
2026-03-29 1.196163 2.233114 4.284363 8.949382 20.270090 49.366148 142.306449
2026-04-05 1.145813 2.167037 4.219471 8.977301 20.800263 52.086395 155.946483